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辽宁大学经济学前沿高端讲座第七十四讲 On the Determinants of the National Debt: Long-Term Trends and Cyclical Fluctuations
- 来源：
- 学校官网
- 收录时间：
- 2024-12-03 09:21:06
- 时间：
- 2024-12-10 10:00:00
- 地点：
- 辽宁大学崇山校区五洲园一楼会议室
- 报告人：
- 冯志钢 副教授（内布拉斯加大学奥马哈校区经济系）
- 学校：
- -/-
- 关键词：
- national debt, fiscal policy, long-term trends, cyclical fluctuations, macroeconomics, artificial intelligence, machine learning, computational economics
- 简介：
- How can we account for the observed long swings in the U.S. national debt? Should fiscal policy be procyclical or countercyclical? We approach these questions within a rich quantitative framework for time-consistent fiscal policy. We first show that the steady state debt dynamics are driven by the gap between the rate of time preference and the interest rate. Then, we shall be concerned with two major fiscal transitions: a move to a permanent low-interest rate scenario and the prospect of an inevitable increase in mandatory spending. Moreover, we explore the dynamic responses of taxation and public spending to short-run productivity shocks and the political cycle. In our setting, fiscal policy is mostly procyclical.
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报告介绍：
辽宁大学经济学前沿高端讲座第七十四讲 On the Determinants of the National Debt: Long-Term Trends and Cyclical Fluctuations
报告人介绍：
冯志钢, 现任教于美国内布拉斯加大学奥马哈校区经济系,研究领域主要涉及宏观经济学、人工智能与机器学习、计算经济学。部分研究成果受到瑞士国家科学基金委、瑞士国家计算中心、美国自然科学基金多次资助，并先后刊发于International Economic Review, Quantitative Economics, Review of Economic Dynamics, Economic Theory 等国际期刊。创办Bilibili“中南宏观”频道，传授高级宏观经济学、数量宏观理论与方法，撰写《机器学习与数量宏观经济学--Pytorch实用指南》。
